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Global Markets, U.S. Futures Fall as Market Watches for Inflation Print to Close out Rocky Week

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 9:59 AM

#Carry Trade #CPI #Fed #US Futures

US stock futures steadied in the Asian session after previous selling, with market focus shifting from AI concerns to the upcoming US CPI report and its implications for Federal Reserve policy.

Economists anticipate a fall in the annual inflation rate to 2.5%, which could bolster expectations for an H1 2026 Fed rate cut. However, this scenario also heightens the risk of a yen carry trade unwind due to narrowing US-Japan rate differentials, driven by rising Bank of Japan rate hike expectations.

The probability of a March Fed rate cut has significantly declined, with June cut expectations also softening. The article provides technical levels for major US indices, suggesting a near-term bearish but longer-term bullish outlook for some.

Despite potential carry trade unwinds and geopolitical tensions, the overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, contingent on the CPI report and the Fed's policy stance.

Story Timeline: US Inflation Cools, Stocks Rise Amid Market Volatility

Feb 13, 2026Treasury Yields, Dollar Edge Up Ahead of Inflation Data

Feb 13, 2026Treasury Yields Fall as U.S. Inflation Cools

Feb 13, 2026Annual inflation slowed in January, falling more than economists expected, helped by declining prices for gasoline and used vehicles

Feb 13, 2026Stocks Rise on Softer Inflation Data, but AI Jitters Trigger Worst Week Since November

Feb 15, 2026Inflation is easing, jobs are holding up, and growth is solid. But after years of high prices and with new risks emerging, declarations of victory feel premature.

Read More On

Global Markets, U.S. Futures Fall as Market Watches for Inflation Print to Close out Rocky Weekwsj.com

Global Markets, U.S. Futures Fall as Market Watches for Inflation Print to Close out Rocky Week - marketscreener.commarketscreener.com

Global Markets, U.S. Futures Fall as Market Watches for Inflation Print to Close out Rocky Week - MarketScreener UKuk.marketscreener.com

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